◐[2020/ 11/ 11/ 수요일] 성장주에서 가치주로 전환

◐[2020/ 11/ 11/  수요일] 성장주에서 가치주로 전환

♣️ 글로벌 동향(작성싯점 실시간 지수)          
◈ 美 ; 백신소식에 컨택트로 전환하며 "혼조"                        
▷ Dow  +0.95%,   S&P500  -0.10%,  Nasdaq - 1.61%      
◈ EU ; 백신소식+ 부양책 추진 소식에 "상승"         
▷ Stoxx 50  +1.02%     
                                                                                              
◈ 통화 및 채권, 금(작성싯점 실시간 가격)                         
▷ 유로/달러→ 1.180(전일 1.182)... 전년말 1.121                     
▷ 달러/엔→ 105.316(전일 105.382)... 전년말 108.615                         
▷ 미국 2 년물 금리→ 0.185% pt(전일 0.183% p)... 전년말 1.571% pt        
▷ 미국 10 년물 금리→ 0.963% pt(전일 0.944% P)... 전년말 1.919% pt        
▷ COMEX GOLD 1oz.→ $1,873.95 (전일 $1,866.50)...전년말 $1,519.95       
▷ WTI→ $41.38 (전일 $40.17)....전년말 $61.20       

◈ 심리지표와 달러 인덱스        
▷ 공포와 탐욕 지수 58pt (낙관), VIX 24.86(-3.46%)       
▷ Dollar Index 92.780pt(0.07%), 12월 금리동결 확률 100%          
                                                                       
https://t.me/happystock5 시장정보 및 참고뉴스                            
(텔레그램 설치 필요)                        
                                                            
♣️ 한국 동향                                                                                            
▷ 전일 지수 : Kospi 2,452.83pt  +5.63pt(0.23%)/ Kosdaq 840.79pt  -10.42pt (1.22%)     
      
◈ 한국물 MSCI ETF, 야간선물지수                                                     
▷ MSCI ETF 한국물  71.62pt  +0.70pt (0.99%)                                            
▷ 야간선물지수 243.75pt  +0.00pt (+0.00%) 환산지수 1,814.59 pt  임시중단    
                  
◈ 국내외 Check Point      
▷ 재부각되는 美정치 불확실성...트럼프 불복에 공화당 원내대표 및 펜스 부통령 지지 선언  
    - 법무장관, 대선 선거부정 의혹 수사 승인    
    - 2021/1/5 블루웨이브 여부도 주목  
▷ 12월 FOMC 통화정책 주목...백신 진전에 Fed 긴축 조기 시행가능성 부각
    - 보스톤 연은총재, 경제회복 위한 주가 재정.통화 정책 필요  
▷ 원/달러 상징적 지지대 1,100원, 매물 지지대 1,098원...이탈시 차기지지대 1,054원  
     - 동유럽 경제봉쇄에 따른 반사효과  
     - 中출구전략 및 성장율에 위안화 가파른 강세 등은 원화강세 요인  
     - 2021년 인플레이션 대비
▷ 韓 11월 옵션만기일...11/12  
▷ 코스피 이격 부담은 있으나 상승추세 유효
     - 코스닥 추세가 훼손되었으며 전반적으로 에너지 소진단계     

◈ 결론    
글로벌 유동성이 풍부하다 보니 긍정적인 측면만 부각되고 있는 상황으로 Fed의 통화정책에서 美의 재정정책 그리고 백신 기대감을 에너지로 상승이 지속되고 있습니다. 근래에도 美대선 이후 바이든 정책에 주목하며 상승하던 시장은 화이자 백신소식에 급등 했습니다. 버블을 제외하면 시장은 온통 장밋빛입니다. 

증시 버블 그리고 美재정정책의 지연으로 향후 경기 회복 부담, 백신 출시가 임박했지만 여전히 코로나는 급격한 확산...호재만큼이나 악재도 많지만 유동성 힘에 보니 악재가 덮이고 있는 상황인 것이죠 그러나 시장 내부에서는 다소 변화가 있습니다 기술주 등 성장주 차익실현, 상대적 저평가된 가치주로 자금 유입이 그 것이죠. 그러다 보니 다우지수는 상승하고 나스닥은 하락하는 흐름이 형성되고 있습니다

시장이 인지한 정치적 노이즈와 이로 인한 경제 회복 지연의 노이즈가 있기는 하지만 시장은 개의치 않는 것 같습니다. 다만, 개의치 않는 것이지 영향이 없는 것이 아닌 것인 만큼 방심은 금물입니다. 지금 한가지 확실한 것은 "기대감이 크지만 부담도 무시할 수 없는 구간"이라는 것 이겠죠.